Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 28

Serie A - Gameweek 28

Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 • 20:45

AC Milan

1 : 0

Inter Milan

Goals

Pervis Estupiñ...
1 : 0
35'
35'Pervis Estupiñán
1 : 0

Game Review

In a tightly contested Serie A clash, AC Milan emerged victorious over Inter Milan with a narrow 1-0 win at the San Siro. The match, part of Gameweek 28, saw AC Milan secure all three points thanks to a solitary goal from Pervis Estupiñán (GAP +3.9%) in the 35th minute. This result was somewhat unexpected given Inter Milan's recent form, but AC Milan's resilience and tactical discipline shone through. The decisive moment came when Estupiñán found the back of the net, capitalizing on a well-executed set-piece. Despite Inter Milan's efforts to equalize, they were unable to break down a well-organized AC Milan defense, marshaled effectively by Fikayo Tomori (GAP +4.7%). Tactically, AC Milan's manager opted for a stable lineup with no changes from their previous match, indicating confidence in his squad's ability to handle the derby pressure. On the other hand, Inter Milan made a single substitution, bringing on Petar Sučić in an attempt to inject fresh energy into their attack. Key performances included Mike Maignan (GAP +4.5%), who was instrumental in maintaining the clean sheet with several crucial saves. For Inter Milan, Yann Sommer (GAP +6.5%) stood out despite the defeat, making several key stops to keep his team in the game. This victory propels AC Milan further up the Serie A table, enhancing their chances of securing a European spot. Meanwhile, Inter Milan will need to regroup and address their attacking inefficiencies if they are to maintain their position in the top four. Post-match reactions highlighted the tactical battle between the two sides, with AC Milan's defensive solidity being a focal point of praise. The result adds an intriguing twist to the Serie A title race, with both teams still in contention for top honors.

Lineups

AC Milan

PosPlayer
GK
Mike Maignan
DEF
Fikayo Tomori
DEF
Pervis Estupiñán
DEF
Strahinja Pavlović
DEF
Koni De Winter
MID
Luka Modric
MID
Adrien Rabiot
MID
Youssouf Fofana
FWD
Christian Pulisic
FWD
Rafael Leão
FWD
Alexis Saelemaekers

Inter Milan

PosPlayer
GK
Yann Sommer
DEF
Federico Dimarco
DEF
Manuel Akanji
DEF
Alessandro Bastoni
DEF
Yann Bisseck
MID
Nicolo Barella
MID
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
MID
Piotr Zieliński
FWD
Luis Henrique
FWD
Ange-Yoan Bonny
FWD
Francesco Esposito

Substitutes

59'Petar Sučićfor Luis Henrique
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter Milan2822156422+4267
W
W
W
W
L
2AC Milan2817924420+2460
W
D
L
W
W

Last Games

AC Milan

@Cremonese
2 - 0
vsParma
0 - 1
vsComo
1 - 1
@Pisa
2 - 1
@Bologna
3 - 0

Inter Milan

vsGenoa
2 - 0
@Lecce
2 - 0
vsJuventus
3 - 2
@Sassuolo
5 - 0
@Cremonese
2 - 0

Head-to-Head

08 Mar 2026
AC Milan1 - 0Inter Milan
08 Mar 2026AC Milan
1 - 0
Inter Milan
23 Nov 2025
Inter Milan0 - 1AC Milan
23 Nov 2025Inter Milan
0 - 1
AC Milan
02 Feb 2025
AC Milan1 - 1Inter Milan
02 Feb 2025AC Milan
1 - 1
Inter Milan
22 Sept 2024
Inter Milan1 - 2AC Milan
22 Sept 2024Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan
22 Apr 2024
AC Milan1 - 2Inter Milan
22 Apr 2024AC Milan
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Serie A

Gameweek 28

06 Mar • 20:45
Napoli
Torino
2 - 1
07 Mar • 15:00
Cagliari
Como
1 - 2
07 Mar • 18:00
Atalanta
Udinese
2 - 2
07 Mar • 20:45
Juventus
Pisa
4 - 0
08 Mar • 12:30
Lecce
Cremonese
2 - 1
08 Mar • 15:00
Bologna
Hellas Verona
1 - 2
08 Mar • 15:00
Fiorentina
Parma
0 - 0
08 Mar • 18:00
Genoa
Roma
2 - 1
08 Mar • 20:45
AC Milan
Inter Milan
1 - 0
09 Mar • 20:45
Lazio
Sassuolo
1 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.